No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 19¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
4 ranked wallets bought Yes at 19¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 4 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $661k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $267k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $251k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $184k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $166k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $82k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $70k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| donalon | Yes | 10k |
| tetrose | Yes | 9k |
| JimJax | Yes | 8k |
| jabbay25 | Yes | 6k |
| silverlinign | Yes | 5k |
| 0x4712…794c | Yes | 4k |
| condogreturns2 | Yes | 2k |
| j5600 | Yes | 2k |
| kramer1975 | Yes | 2k |
| 0xe0e6…8197 | Yes | 2k |
| 0xc5cb62 | No | 5 |
| vitalitytens | No | 1 |
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