No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (12 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢). Volume $443k, liquidity $71k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Iran leader end of 2026? →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $778k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $275k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $232k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $220k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $203k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $184k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $162k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JustCrazy | Yes | 24k |
| Eatpraylove | Yes | 5k |
| betterfasterstronger | Yes | 4k |
| olibillions | Yes | 3k |
| 0xwhaleshark | Yes | 2k |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 1k |
| forgotmydinner | Yes | 1k |
| 2B9S | Yes | 1k |
| balthazar | Yes | 1k |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 61k |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 |
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