No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 98¢). Volume $17k, liquidity $13k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affair… →
10 ranked wallets bought Yes at 98¢. It’s 1¢ now — −99% on paper.
Track all 10 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $208k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 90% · No 11% | $207k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 58% · No 42% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 15% · No 86% | $122k |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | Yes 32% · No 68% | $88k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $80k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 34% · No 66% | $63k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $63k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HolyMoses7 | Yes | 1k |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 643 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 342 |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 258 |
| hancoh | Yes | 224 |
| Askeladd. | Yes | 181 |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 150 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 139 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 132 |
| Muchachos7 | Yes | 117 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 2k |
| M2sx92kljs42 | No | 1k |
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