No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (14 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢). Volume $958k, liquidity $85k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Iran leader end of 2026? →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $815k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $223k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 89% · No 12% | $217k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 26% · No 75% | $198k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $185k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $168k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $164k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $163k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bikas | Yes | 11k |
| fiter | Yes | 8k |
| BabyGroot | Yes | 6k |
| Eatpraylove | Yes | 5k |
| gatsbby | Yes | 4k |
| TronOG | Yes | 2k |
| 0a25 | Yes | 2k |
| Kent777 | Yes | 1k |
| mhh | Yes | 1k |
| 0xee6712 | Yes | 1k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 61k |
| classified | No | 1k |
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