What are the odds for “Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?” on Polymarket?

Yes 100% · No 0%, on $0 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Yes 100% · No 0%. Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Yes
100%
No
0%
Volume
$0
Liquidity
—

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 750 known shares

snoopy-1978
entry 8¢ · all-time −$11k · win 64%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?” on Polymarket?: Yes 100% · No 0%, on $0 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

live

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

No data for these parameters.

Current odds

Market & odds history

100%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes750100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$275k	$78k	-5.8%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$159k	$114k	4.4%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$123k	$651k	-1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$120k	$325k	0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 74%	$101k	$75k	-4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$96k	$52k	1.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$93k	$62k	2.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$80k	$185k	0.6%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
snoopy-1978	Yes	750	8¢	$60.00	−$11k
Bld9416	Yes	440	29¢	$126.00	$111.30
0xa2ca…c6d2	Yes	290	17¢	$50.00	−$2k
0x8193…a0d7	Yes	277	38¢	$119.12	−$225.77
0x5410cb	Yes	255	58¢	$147.60	$709.62
0xc1d6…196c	Yes	200	35¢	$228.00	$116.76
0x60f370	Yes	137	55¢	$75.00	$53.01
0x484016	Yes	126	44¢	$132.98	$62.94
Shedo	Yes	119	42¢	$50.00	−$59.87
clawypol	Yes	80	75¢	$60	−$866.41
hedgyhedgehoghedger	No	1.4M	0¢	$3k	−$9k
Zedronzamberiom	No	796k			−$12k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$44k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$24k
4Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$20k
6Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$5k
7Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$3k
8US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$3k
9Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2k