What are the odds for “Will Iran legalize gay marriage?” on Polymarket?

No 98% · Yes 2%, on $85k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Iran legalize gay marriage?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

No 98% · Yes 2%. Volume $85k, liquidity $59k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
98%
Yes
2%
Volume
$85k
Liquidity
$59k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

No

1 wallets · 1,396 known shares

Krass
entry 96¢ · all-time +$15k · win 76%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Iran legalize gay marriage?” on Polymarket?: No 98% · Yes 2%, on $85k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Iran legalize gay marriage?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

live

Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98.2%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No1k100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$220k	$69k	-6.7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$151k	$88k	4.2%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$129k	$654k	-1.5%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$119k	$330k	0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$92k	$44k	1.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes 12% · No 88%	$85k	$329k	0.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 26% · No 74%	$79k	$80k	-4.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$72k	$178k	-0.1%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 1.7¢ask 2¢spread 0.3¢mid 1.9¢

SizeBid

AskSize

4791.7¢

2¢779

1.5k1.6¢

2.1¢2.0k

1001¢

2.2¢405

1250.9¢

2.3¢202

8500.5¢

2.4¢300

3.9k0.4¢

3¢105

4.3k0.3¢

3.1¢6

15k0.2¢

3.5¢5.0k

4.1M0.1¢

4.3¢6.0k

9.9¢100

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
neutralwave23	Yes	8k	−$2.2M
PaddyAlpha	Yes	1k	$49k
PolarOpposite	Yes	1k	−$14.78
Kalags	Yes	551	$70k
0x180c59	Yes	410	$16.59
BUDOG	Yes	393	−$61.24
RooksD000	Yes	385	$2k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	347	$193k
JTXEXE	Yes	308	−$3k
-gg-	Yes	300	$56.70
GironaNite	No	4k	$6k
0x8931aa	No	3k	$30k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$19k
4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$11k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$12k
6US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$2k
7US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$1k