No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 97¢). Volume $26k, liquidity $24k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $250k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 78% · No 23% | $225k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $222k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $173k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $172k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $137k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $110k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | Yes 62% · No 39% | $107k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RealRonnieTyler | Yes | 3k |
| what-are-the-odds | Yes | 500 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 460 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 283 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 268 |
| 0x6b0ebb | Yes | 241 |
| GRodBets | Yes | 224 |
| PaddyAlpha | Yes | 182 |
| maxlang | Yes | 154 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 154 |
| archaic | No | 3k |
| 0x452d…f886 | No | 536 |
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