No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 23¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
6 ranked wallets bought Yes at 23¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 6 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $640k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 44% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 84% · No 16% | $170k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $163k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $86k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x7021b75c27835935a40308779b5656c09ab40f2 | Yes | 447k |
| bolt9ra | Yes | 7k |
| nico235 | Yes | 6k |
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 5k |
| Rick-Ross | Yes | 4k |
| NOTHINGSEVERFRICKINFAIRONHERE | Yes | 4k |
| FridayImInLove | Yes | 3k |
| YAK-TAK | Yes | 2k |
| Hypernica | Yes | 2k |
| tradition157 | Yes | 2k |
| 0xefb7…8d7d | No | 73 |
| io88u | No | 45 |
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