Yes 74% · No 27%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 70¢). Volume $3.0k, liquidity $2.4k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
6 ranked wallets bought Yes at 70¢. It’s 74¢ now — +5% on paper.
Track all 6 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 9% · No 92% | $284k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $226k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $167k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $148k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $137k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 33% · No 67% | $136k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $105k |
| Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $88k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xa169f8 | Yes | 443 |
| congoterrier | Yes | 328 |
| rocky42025 | Yes | 298 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 175 |
| Romiche22 | Yes | 80 |
| 0x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122aff | Yes | 40 |
| 0x7c14…5783 | Yes | 37 |
| Carabao | Yes | 30 |
| jollyblue | Yes | 25 |
| akatbo | Yes | 15 |
| OPOP10 | No | 348 |
| iForgor | No | 260 |
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