Yes 72% · No 28%. Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 25¢). Volume $2.6k, liquidity $1.1k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
7 ranked wallets bought No at 25¢. It’s 28¢ now — +11% on paper.
Track all 7 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $208k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $207k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 59% · No 42% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 15% · No 86% | $122k |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | Yes 31% · No 69% | $88k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $80k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 34% · No 66% | $63k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $63k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ChinaRed | Yes | 786 |
| nogambler | Yes | 410 |
| fj3 | Yes | 219 |
| Hazel1122 | Yes | 31 |
| helicobite | Yes | 20 |
| 0x7c14…5783 | Yes | 20 |
| yolohustler | Yes | 20 |
| kry67 | Yes | 2 |
| gullmarc | Yes | 1 |
| AlfaFire | No | 634 |
| edge999 | No | 175 |
| cigarettes | No | 138 |
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