Who is the smart money on “Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?

No 97% · Yes 3%. Volume $14k, liquidity $815. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
97%
Yes
3%
Volume
$14k
Liquidity
$815

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 18 known shares

aliiz
entry 22¢ · all-time +$9.0k · win 79%

No

2 wallets · 550 known shares

melonmanmwhale
entry — · all-time +$63k · win 59%
clazzy1
entry 78¢ · all-time +$32k · win 66%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 97% · Yes 3%, on $14k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?

live

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 20… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

96.6%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No55097%
Yes183%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$227k	$66k	-6.8%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$153k	$86k	4.1%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$130k	$648k	-1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$120k	$331k	0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$92k	$44k	1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes 12% · No 89%	$85k	$325k	0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 74%	$77k	$94k	-4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$72k	$180k	-0.3%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
0x6ddf…6581	Yes	2k	21¢	$358.79	$0.31
0xc44a…8da6	Yes	1k	1¢	$22.39	−$10k
Khaderasli	Yes	1k	1¢	$20	$43.55
frozenriver	Yes	1k	1¢	$12	$227k
fiter	Yes	840			$53k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	587			$193k
doitwise	Yes	544	37¢	$201.44	$199.60
Doc34	Yes	321	12¢	$25.83	−$22k
RK777	Yes	106	26¢	$5.72	$243.54
mollmerx	Yes	94	13¢	$12.22	−$495.04
justme003	No	4k	99¢	$4k	−$26k
Johndorito	No	1k	80¢	$1k	$1k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$24k
2Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
3US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$16k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$12k
6US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$2k
7US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$1k