What are the odds for “Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027?” on Polymarket?

No 95% · Yes 5%, on $497 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027?

No 95% · Yes 5%. Volume $497, liquidity $1.6k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
95%
Yes
5%
Volume
$497
Liquidity
$1.6k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

More Geopolitics markets

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?
No 97% · Yes 3% · 24h volume $219k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 97% · No 3% · 24h volume $152k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 96% · Yes 5% · 24h volume $131k
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No 98% · Yes 2% · 24h volume $119k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 98% · No 2% · 24h volume $92k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No 89% · Yes 12% · 24h volume $84k

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 95% · Yes 5%, on $497 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027?

live

Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

94.7%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Nothing positive to split.

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$219k	$68k	-6.3%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$152k	$107k	4%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$131k	$650k	-1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$119k	$331k	0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$92k	$63k	0.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes 12% · No 89%	$84k	$335k	0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 74%	$77k	$91k	-4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$72k	$181k	-0.2%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.7¢ask 9.9¢spread 9.2¢mid 5.3¢

SizeBid

AskSize

50.7¢

9.9¢6

170.6¢

10¢144

680.5¢

35¢20

1110.4¢

59¢280

600.3¢

59¢483

3190.2¢

61¢3.0k

6320.1¢

75¢5

100¢115

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	164	$193k
9df	Yes	75	$2k
tweetmaster	Yes	21	−$330.68
niglette	Yes	21	−$5k
velorot	Yes	20	$0.01
nc3iceibvtvetvbt	Yes	17	$7k
Mojito9	Yes	16	$17k
69dsfs	Yes	6	−$75.79
streetgy	Yes	1	$188.28
Mantzuraj	No	156	$306.69
TheOne777	No	122	$16k
LosingItAll	No	40	$1.08

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$19k
4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$11k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$12k
6US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$2k
7US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$1k