What are the odds for “Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?” on Polymarket?

No 68% · Yes 33%, on $35k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?

No 68% · Yes 33%. Volume $35k, liquidity $1.2k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
68%
Yes
33%
Volume
$35k
Liquidity
$1.2k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 30 known shares

0x462996
entry — · all-time −$10k · win 67%

No

5 wallets · 394 known shares

TrueDignity
entry 68¢ · all-time +$23k · win 42%
SmartBoyBilly
entry — · all-time −$10k · win 50%
sadfsadf
entry 56¢ · all-time +$288 · win 50%
0x28a665
entry 67¢ · all-time +$426 · win 49%
big-bird1

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?” on Polymarket?: No 68% · Yes 33%, on $35k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?

live

Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

67.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No39493%
Yes307%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$227k	$80k	-6.9%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$153k	$94k	4.2%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$130k	$649k	-1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$120k	$331k	0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$93k	$46k	1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes 12% · No 89%	$83k	$324k	0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 74%	$77k	$91k	-4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$72k	$183k	-0.2%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 25¢ask 41¢spread 16¢mid 33¢

SizeBid

AskSize

4825¢

41¢7

16324¢

42¢144

1223¢

43¢180

922¢

44¢585

6021¢

49¢6

4017¢

51¢30

10013¢

54¢20

6012¢

55¢30

76310¢

58¢120

74¢

79¢40

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
dhadad01	Yes	1k	37¢	$429.21	$14k
Avimorya	Yes	591	34¢	$200	$21.44
JDP.	Yes	450	35¢	$159.50	−$4k
HolyMoses7	Yes	440			$192k
Kiara-pablo	Yes	283	38¢	$206	$132.27
idoyaakov	Yes	272	37¢	$100	−$991.43
acc42020	Yes	224	37¢	$46.36	$12k
Tupacfan145	Yes	184	34¢	$63	−$789.06
V0R0	Yes	182	34¢	$60	−$49.46
AlmogAvrani	Yes	101	39¢	$39.35	−$2.02
paddaa	No	2k	60¢	$2k	$311k
LJa7io23MCv954j	No	1k	61¢	$846	$4k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$24k
2Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
3US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$16k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$12k
6US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$2k
7US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$1k