No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 25¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
6 ranked wallets bought Yes at 25¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 6 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $636k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $210k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $176k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $88k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 61% · No 40% | $83k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $71k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | Yes | 32k |
| vamoscori | Yes | 5k |
| 0xdca355 | Yes | 3k |
| SUPERNOVA- | Yes | 2k |
| 0x75d1…7a5f | Yes | 1k |
| pepepepo | Yes | 810 |
| Natiajb345 | Yes | 666 |
| degengamblinggambler | Yes | 540 |
| vivalibertad | Yes | 501 |
| Porx | Yes | 200 |
| yiyebaofu | No | 30 |
| 0x9ef4…bf94 | No | 1 |
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