No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 9¢) and lost. Volume $100k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
patientman took +$49 on No from 95¢; the biggest loser gave up $50.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $640k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 44% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $170k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $163k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $86k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 70% · No 31% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| patientman | No | $49.42 |
| 0xecd3…5642 | No | $31.20 |
| gaut6375 | No | $23.14 |
| TimRob | No | $19.05 |
| NotTheSharpestTool | No | $8.50 |
| 0x6ede… | No | $5.60 |
| 0x553a… | No | $3.60 |
| 0x75d1… | No | $3.57 |
| hyuingho | No | $2.30 |
| Bikesarethebest | No | $2.18 |
| Slackjaw | No | $1.60 |
| 0x0d62… | No | $1.30 |
69 wallets held a position at the close. The 19 biggest winners took $157; the 50 biggest losers gave up $214. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.