No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 13¢) and lost. Volume $88k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Bitcoin150K took +$184 on No from 90¢; the biggest loser gave up $716.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $620k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $246k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $226k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $171k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $152k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $79k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $69k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin150K | No | $183.96 |
| melonmanm | No | $159.73 |
| GabiFP | No | $121 |
| ScientiaRex | No | $102.10 |
| Mst-br | No | $91.65 |
| henribloc | No | $72.60 |
| Timolol45 | No | $59.81 |
| Prinas | No | $56.99 |
| Damien3030 | No | $54.46 |
| bubububblebutt | No | $42.48 |
| EMtourist | No | $40.52 |
| Aleksei-Ivanovich | No | $32.56 |
204 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.