No 54% · Yes 46%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 73¢). Volume $147k, liquidity $27k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $691k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $277k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $233k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $188k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $181k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $178k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $159k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $131k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cattail | Yes | 245 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 170 |
| smellyEllie | Yes | 124 |
| leCommissaire | Yes | 100 |
| 0x3fdf…2bac | Yes | 75 |
| cloverpmq2 | Yes | 70 |
| ExtraDawn | Yes | 70 |
| lievre | Yes | 44 |
| Yobettin | Yes | 32 |
| nanioto | Yes | 30 |
| 0x936605 | No | 633 |
| nedsta | No | 100 |
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