No won. Volume $159k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x9b85… took +$42 on No from 92¢; the biggest loser gave up $64.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.5–$1.75T 31% · $1.25–$1.5T 29% · $1.75–$2.0T 17% | $147k |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $58k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 89% · Anthropic 9% | $47k |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $40k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 88% · No 12% | $32k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $29k |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets) | 1.5–1.8T 31% · 1.8T+ 28% · 1.2–1.5T 28% | $14k |
| How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO? | $65B to $75B 36% · $75B to $85B 22% · $95B to $105B 14% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x9b85… | No | $42.49 |
| oblivious | No | $23.01 |
| orcabear | No | $21.00 |
| predictionaur | Yes | $19.87 |
| lorry3122 | No | $14.75 |
| coco112 | Yes | $11.77 |
| 0xbc30… | No | $9.74 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | $8.61 |
| yanivsch | Yes | $5.88 |
| 0xb87c… | Yes | $4.98 |
| Gloomy-Refusal | Yes | $4.34 |
| gpunfv1 | No | $4.23 |
283 wallets held a position at the close. The 49 biggest winners took $227; the 60 biggest losers gave up $421. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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