No 66% · Yes 34%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 34¢). Volume $11k, liquidity $1.5k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $29k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 72% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 23–November 29 5% | $28k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · Meta 1% | $16k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 54% · November 16–November 22 19% · November 9–November 15 17% | $8k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 18% · No release by November 30 10% · November 13 8% | $7k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $6k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $4k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| X10X10X10 | Yes | 256 |
| JokerBot | Yes | 232 |
| molodoyy | Yes | 200 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 118 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 107 |
| KnowsAllOfIt | Yes | 60 |
| Carabao | Yes | 40 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 29 |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | 21 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 593 |
| rpontici | No | 218 |
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