Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · US Politics · live

Will Mike Johnson be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?

No 82% · Yes 19%. Volume $1.6k, liquidity $11k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
82%
Yes
19%
Volume
$1.6k
Liquidity
$11k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 358 known shares

Fihdrzgdd
entry — · all-time −$18k · win 46%
TheWindKnowsmyName
entry — · all-time −$41k · win 56%
SmartBoyBilly
entry 25¢ · all-time −$10k · win 50%

No

3 wallets · 853 known shares

Robbbwhale
entry 79¢ · all-time +$97k · win 79%
KimchiCapital
entry 75¢ · all-time +$41k · win 78%
yessirskis

More US Politics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Mike Johnson be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?” on Polymarket?: No 82% · Yes 19%, on $1.6k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Mike Johnson be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the US politics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Mike Johnson be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?

live

Will Mike Johnson be the first House Minority Leader after… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

81.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No85370%
Yes35830%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

US Politics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Ted Cruz # posts October 30 - November 6, 2026?	200+ 58% · 180-199 18% · 160-179 17%	$13k	$8k
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes 15% · No 85%	$6k	$51k
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?	Yes 7% · No 93%	$4k	$25k
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes 33% · No 67%	$4k	$79k
Ted Cruz # posts November 3 - November 10, 2026?	200+ 37% · 160-179 22% · 140-159 17%	$4k	$6k
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes 23% · No 77%	$4k	$19k
Ted Cruz # posts October 27 - November 3, 2026?	200+ 82% · 180-199 16% · 160-179 2%	$3k	$3k
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes 0% · No 100%	$3k	$23k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 18¢ask 19¢spread 1¢mid 19¢

SizeBid

AskSize

12918¢

19¢191

15417¢

20¢152

21916¢

21¢20

509¢

44¢20

203¢

45¢67

692¢

46¢16

1001¢

54¢45

55¢60

64¢20

65¢150

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	211	22¢	$47.10	$193k
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	135	21¢	$28.35	−$18k
TheWindKnowsmyName	Yes	123	19¢	$23.37	−$41k
SmartBoyBilly	Yes	100	25¢	$25	−$10k
0xf27dc	Yes	100	29¢	$29	$14k
galhammerman	Yes	42	25¢	$10	−$26k
polkaly	Yes	40	19¢	$7.40	$60.91
LornaPredicts	Yes	38	19¢	$7.32	$15k
AMAM13	Yes	21	20¢	$4.20	−$121k
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	Yes	20	25¢	$5	−$4k
Robbb	No	655	79¢	$518.86	$97k
KimchiCapital	No	180	75¢	$134.80	$41k

Smart-money conviction · US Politics

→ all categories · none in US Politics right now

Smart-money conviction

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8Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$24k
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10Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$41k