No won. Volume $18k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Roeman took +$16 on No from 97¢; the biggest loser gave up $10.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $629k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $251k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $246k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $171k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $83k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $70k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Roeman | No | $15.57 |
| prognozu | No | $15.00 |
| BrightStars | No | $11.23 |
| 0x46e2… | No | $6.30 |
| 0x0aa0… | Yes | $2.50 |
| aliiz | No | $1.07 |
| gap18 | Yes | −$9.99 |
| adamsitorust | Yes | −$1.20 |
| CriptanTDA | Yes | −$1.07 |
| wumen | Yes | −$1.05 |
| bbc.alex | Yes | −$1 |
| Cemoneymaker | Yes | −$1 |
17 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $52; the 11 biggest losers gave up $19. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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