Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $19k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? | 400-419 31% · 380-399 22% · 420-439 18% | $309k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 360-379 13% · 340-359 12% · 380-399 12% | $126k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026? | 90-114 88% · 115-139 13% · 140-164 1% | $113k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Jack Lowden 42% · Callum Turner 30% · No Bond chosen 15% | $54k |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 94% · Avengers: Doomsday 5% | $37k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 65-89 20% · <40 2% · 215-239 2% | $14k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 340-359 14% · 320-339 13% · 420-439 7% | $10k |
| "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office | 105m+ 74% · <65m 1% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x954d… | Yes | $1k |
| Shera123 | Yes | $557.41 |
| It3 | Yes | $396.19 |
| 0120346 | Yes | $218.49 |
| zhangyu1377 | Yes | $137.80 |
| 0xdeb5… | Yes | $92.79 |
| shovelingdigging | Yes | $92.72 |
| ludo-money | Yes | $56.13 |
| Hit-man | Yes | $51.96 |
| ddd333aaa | Yes | $43.20 |
| 0x11ea… | Yes | $39.23 |
| SONIC31RUS | Yes | $38.25 |
74 wallets held a position at the close. The 40 biggest winners took $3.3k; the 34 biggest losers gave up $1.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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