What are the odds for “Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?” on Polymarket?

No 97% · Yes 3%, on $25k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?

No 97% · Yes 3%. Volume $25k, liquidity $32k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
97%
Yes
3%
Volume
$25k
Liquidity
$32k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

No

1 wallets · 49 known shares

DREAMBIG.whale
entry 79¢ · all-time +$148k · win 62%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 97% · Yes 3%, on $25k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?

live

Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

96.7%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No49100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 95% · No 5%	$155k	$77k	2.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$153k	$52k	-5.3%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$115k	$325k	-0.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes 12% · No 89%	$97k	$327k	0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$90k	$49k	0.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 6% · No 95%	$87k	$583k	0%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes 24% · No 77%	$69k	$78k	-3.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes 93% · No 7%	$68k	$36k	0%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 3.2¢ask 3.4¢spread 0.2¢mid 3.3¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1673.2¢

3.4¢107

1503.1¢

3.5¢150

502.9¢

3.7¢609

1002.7¢

3.8¢3.1k

2432.6¢

4.1¢417

2572.5¢

4.4¢1.9k

3182.3¢

4.9¢455

1.5k2.2¢

5.4¢423

2482.1¢

5.6¢50

5051.7¢

6.2¢300

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
Dr.PNL	Yes	459	−$500k
thecaricature	Yes	259	−$6k
maxlang	Yes	51	−$768.51
GRodBets	Yes	50	−$531.49
BackingFavesEsports	Yes	40	−$29.95
Half-Again	Yes	40	$6.39
Numitus1994	Yes	36	−$34k
ghorrock	Yes	25	$1k
velorot	Yes	20	$0.01
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	16	$193k
enrico-vasaio	No	200	$23k
cashllio	No	100	$489.59

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$19k
2Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$11k
3US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$12k
4US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$2k