What are the odds for “Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?” on Polymarket?

No 98% · Yes 2%, on $8.2k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Other · Other · live

Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?

No 98% · Yes 2%. Volume $8.2k, liquidity $1.2k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
98%
Yes
2%
Volume
$8.2k
Liquidity
$1.2k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 38 known shares

123987456
entry — · all-time +$49k · win 41%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Other markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?” on Polymarket?: No 98% · Yes 2%, on $8.2k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?

live

Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

97.8%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes38100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Other markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes 80% · No 20%	$85k	$35k
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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes 35% · No 65%	$41k	$55k
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When will Gemini Carbon be released?	November 9–November 15 58% · November 16–November 22 17%	$21k	$6k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.9¢ask 3.5¢spread 2.6¢mid 2.2¢

SizeBid

AskSize

550.9¢

3.5¢97

1430.7¢

4.5¢100

250.5¢

50¢42

3390.2¢

50¢625

5650.1¢

50¢500

59¢483

97¢600

97¢1.0k

97¢2.5k

98¢3.0k

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	471	$193k
linzy996	Yes	462	$37.32
2B9S	Yes	201	$95k
0x34db…1b63	Yes	140	$6k
predictdogepepewif	Yes	100	−$38k
zeitfi-vault-v2	Yes	76	$2k
0x3a9dad	Yes	50	−$846.18
tradetosurvive1	Yes	49	−$220k
73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.	Yes	42	$1k
123987456	Yes	38	$49k
0xa5ef39	No	2k	$0
bignoob	No	21	−$6k

Smart-money conviction · Other

Smart-money conviction

1Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?$6k