No won. Volume $70k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
4gja took +$308 on No from 64¢; the biggest loser gave up $300.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 76% · Anthropic 22% · OpenAI 3% | $42k |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $17k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 64% · Anthropic 31% · OpenAI 4% | $12k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 10, 2026? | Yes 26% · No 74% | $9k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $9k |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? | Yes 79% · No 21% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $7k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 37% · November 11 16% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 4gja | No | $307.51 |
| Redeemm | No | $220.40 |
| KingOdysseus | No | $178.66 |
| Mewtube | No | $149.04 |
| Sunbreon | No | $123.96 |
| 0x14ec… | Yes | $119.79 |
| datajesse | No | $119.44 |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yes | $88.02 |
| fwfwf252 | Yes | $73.31 |
| Olcan | No | $71.34 |
| trukla | No | $65.48 |
| farmoor2 | No | $51.54 |
295 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.1k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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