No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 87¢) and lost. Volume $190k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 73% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 2–November 8 6% | $28k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $21k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $20k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $14k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 61% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 12% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 74% · No 26% | $7k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| bangbingbong | No | $11k |
| MrBauer | No | $4k |
| 0x8cb5… | No | $3k |
| BrownBees | No | $2k |
| okc35 | No | $1k |
| 0x6e23… | No | $1k |
| GambleFroth | No | $1k |
| namael | No | $969.83 |
| Garyzeb | No | $884.01 |
| Elialmo18 | No | $821.26 |
| cutiegirl | No | $673.45 |
| SchotesyWins | No | $667.06 |
191 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $34k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $8.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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