Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

No 86% · Yes 14%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 10¢). Volume $88k, liquidity $19k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
86%
Yes
14%
Volume
$88k
Liquidity
$19k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

5 wallets · 7,782 known shares

DancewithRisk
entry 10¢ · all-time +$48k · win 69%
Albert 1953whale
entry 10¢ · all-time +$265k · win 49%
XieGuangKunwhale
entry 21¢ · all-time +$85k · win 55%
Hugin-og-Munin
entry 12¢ · all-time +$28k · win 50%
Cornishon
entry 13¢ · all-time −$167 · win 47%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 86% · Yes 14%, on $88k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?”?: Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 10¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

live

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at mar… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

86%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes8k100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 30% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 18%	$93k	$197k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 22% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 19% · November 19 17%	$31k	$23k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$27k	$49k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 54% · Anthropic 46%	$24k	$82k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 39% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 25% · 1.25T–1.5T 14%	$22k	$76k
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$13k	$78k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes 17% · No 84%	$13k	$104k
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes 5% · No 95%	$12k	$47k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 13¢ask 15¢spread 2¢mid 14¢

SizeBid

AskSize

33613¢

15¢1.6k

1.8k12¢

16¢1.1k

1.6k11¢

17¢232

46010¢

19¢74

3999¢

21¢6

2008¢

22¢166

2967¢

25¢2.1k

3736¢

26¢747

5005¢

27¢640

5554¢

28¢440

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
suoha518	Yes	6k	11¢	$351.23	−$1k
DancewithRisk	Yes	3k	10¢	$944.46	$48k
memefactory888	Yes	2k	11¢	$186.94	−$194.75
Albert 1953	Yes	2k	10¢	$221.09	$265k
MaxEnt	Yes	2k			$3k
XieGuangKun	Yes	1k	21¢	$210.00	$85k
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	830	12¢	$99.86	$28k
0x7577…8fb9	Yes	703	11¢	$75.28	$2k
Cornishon	Yes	542	13¢	$71.47	−$166.68
winwinwin518	Yes	511	14¢	$73.94	$2k
0xa5ef39	No	21k			$0
Haradwaith	No	443			−$421k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$5k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$5k
3Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$4k
4Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
5Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
6Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
7Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$799.54
8Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948