Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

No 88% · Yes 12%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 6¢). Volume $104k, liquidity $18k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
88%
Yes
12%
Volume
$104k
Liquidity
$18k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

5 wallets · 9,807 known shares

Albert 1953whale
entry 6¢ · all-time +$265k · win 49%
XieGuangKunwhale
entry 16¢ · all-time +$85k · win 55%
Hugin-og-Munin
entry 7¢ · all-time +$28k · win 50%
Cornishon
entry 10¢ · all-time −$167 · win 47%
m3t64 - 815whale
entry 11¢ · all-time +$71k · win 49%

No

2 wallets · 108 known shares

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 88% · Yes 12%, on $104k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?”?: Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 6¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

live

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at marke… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

88.4%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes10k99%
No1081%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 30% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 18%	$93k	$196k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 22% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 19% · November 19 17%	$31k	$23k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 53% · Anthropic 47%	$29k	$72k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$27k	$49k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 39% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 26% · 1.25T–1.5T 14%	$22k	$77k
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$13k	$113k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes 17% · No 84%	$13k	$104k
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes 5% · No 95%	$12k	$47k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 11¢ask 12¢spread 1.3¢mid 12¢

SizeBid

AskSize

3811¢

12¢8

11711¢

12¢98

48110¢

13¢2.0k

35910¢

13¢865

36410¢

13¢366

61610¢

13¢1.7k

2239.9¢

13¢5

439.8¢

14¢384

4.8k9.7¢

15¢70

1.7k9.6¢

16¢100

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
Albert 1953	Yes	7k	6¢	$434.61	$265k
0x7577…8fb9	Yes	5k	4¢	$206.39	$2k
memefactory888	Yes	2k	6¢	$136.29	−$194.75
MaxEnt	Yes	2k			$3k
Dolly22	Yes	1k	18¢	$159.21	−$2k
XieGuangKun	Yes	1k	16¢	$132.07	$85k
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	830	7¢	$60.14	$28k
Ondra	Yes	749	10¢	$7.06	$33k
Cornishon	Yes	542	10¢	$54.96	−$166.68
m3t64 - 815	Yes	310	11¢	$33.72	$71k
0xa5ef39	No	21k			$0
yoyobb2018	No	2k			$5.77

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$5k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$5k
3Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$4k
4Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
5Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
6Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
7Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$799.54
8Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948