Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Other · Other · live

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Volume $44k, liquidity $14k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$44k
Liquidity
$14k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

7 wallets · 964 known shares

Hugin-og-Munin
entry 2¢ · P&L $28k · win 50%
LearningPizza
entry 1¢ · P&L $7.6k · win 41%
0x8f69…2923
entry — · P&L -$11k · win 45%
m3t64 - 815whale
entry 6¢ · P&L $69k · win 49%
JordanMooney
entry — · P&L $25k · win 51%
LesterDiamondwhale
entry — · P&L $213k · win 52%

More Other markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $44k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

live

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

1.3%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

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Smart-money conviction · Other

Smart-money conviction