No 97% · Yes 3%. Volume $11k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Wagner275738 took +$40 on No from 91¢; the biggest loser gave up $83.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $677k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 45% | $270k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $251k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 86% · No 14% | $181k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $164k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $72k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 59% · No 41% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Wagner275738 | No | $40.36 |
| patientman | No | $24.13 |
| toufik-la-moula | No | $7.63 |
| a4385 | No | $6.40 |
| phsr | No | $4.30 |
| 0x275c… | No | $4.20 |
| Krass | No | $2.72 |
| 0xf040… | No | $1.96 |
| 0xaced… | Yes | $1.77 |
| NeevS | No | $1.53 |
| NAA | Yes | $1.43 |
| 0xd217… | No | $0.74 |
39 wallets held a position at the close. The 16 biggest winners took $100; the 23 biggest losers gave up $171. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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