No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 54¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
14 ranked wallets bought Yes at 54¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 14 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $682k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 45% | $267k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $251k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $182k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 81% | $164k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $81k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $70k |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x5c3031 | Yes | 18k |
| evilangel1337 | Yes | 13k |
| 0x4cb8…e48f | Yes | 13k |
| 0x0b33…9a34 | Yes | 9k |
| 0x88ae…809a | Yes | 7k |
| DLEK | Yes | 5k |
| 0x0b67c6 | Yes | 5k |
| nycfan | Yes | 4k |
| 0x878f…1755 | Yes | 3k |
| wan123 | Yes | 3k |
| 0xaa62…d812 | No | 14 |
| 0x1fcb…2027 | No | 12 |
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