Yes won. Smart money backed No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $17k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $997k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $977k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $683k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze | Elena Pridankina 19% · Alexandra Shubladze 82% | $379k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 27% | $352k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| SiliconBets | Yes | $249.56 |
| RazuchiDISNEY | Yes | $74.08 |
| massappealyo | Yes | $43.85 |
| RazuchiONE | Yes | $30.26 |
| OldTinyDeactivated | Yes | $16.94 |
| 0x75d1… | Yes | $16.03 |
| usolndhs | Yes | $14.72 |
| crayven | Yes | $10.98 |
| 0xfbdf… | Yes | $9.73 |
| lizzyb | Yes | $7.06 |
| BukharinBergbergstein | Yes | $7.01 |
| Cornishon | Yes | $6.05 |
63 wallets held a position at the close. The 29 biggest winners took $518; the 34 biggest losers gave up $399. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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