No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 70¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
12 ranked wallets bought Yes at 70¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 12 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $640k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 44% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $170k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $163k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $86k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 70% · No 31% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HYTPOM.4YBCCTBY10 | Yes | 2k |
| JoeBlack01 | Yes | 2k |
| AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA | Yes | 1k |
| Torin81 | Yes | 1k |
| Azrarn | Yes | 1k |
| WEAP0N | Yes | 957 |
| negator512 | Yes | 636 |
| cq-6 | Yes | 544 |
| 0x4403…fcef | Yes | 510 |
| Jumpy-Logistics | Yes | 492 |
| rolller | No | 50 |
| AKinOrthoDefi | No | 1 |
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