No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 9¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
10 ranked wallets bought Yes at 9¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 10 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $636k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $210k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $176k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $88k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 61% · No 40% | $83k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $71k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xpr | Yes | 10k |
| 0x277f…ed32 | Yes | 6k |
| 0x35c073 | Yes | 5k |
| Rost1239 | Yes | 4k |
| Quantoph | Yes | 3k |
| NothingEver | Yes | 2k |
| yarche | Yes | 1k |
| Kaijipt | Yes | 1k |
| herbroles | Yes | 1k |
| 0x5fce…33f8 | Yes | 1k |
| Klayman | No | 5 |
| Sheepy | No | 5 |
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