What are the odds for “Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30, 2027?” on Polymarket?

No 86% · Yes 14%, on $3.7k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30, 2027?”?

Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 81¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30, 2027?

No 86% · Yes 14%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 81¢). Volume $3.7k, liquidity $1.6k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
86%
Yes
14%
Volume
$3.7k
Liquidity
$1.6k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

No

1 wallets · 200 known shares

CompulsiveGamblerwhale
entry 81¢ · all-time +$76k · win 65%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30, 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 86% · Yes 14%, on $3.7k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30, 2027?”?: Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 81¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30, 2027?

live

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30, 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

85.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No200100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$223k	$82k	-7.2%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$160k	$99k	4.3%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$123k	$657k	-1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$120k	$334k	0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$96k	$49k	1.4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 26% · No 75%	$83k	$80k	-5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$80k	$65k	1.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$72k	$185k	0.1%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 13¢ask 16¢spread 3¢mid 15¢

SizeBid

AskSize

16013¢

16¢230

26212¢

17¢242

61511¢

19¢31

1.2k10¢

22¢50

1008¢

23¢59

777¢

24¢100

1236¢

25¢100

1.7k5¢

26¢230

1.7k4¢

27¢203

2.3k3¢

96¢5

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
Haradwaith	Yes	333	15¢	$49.91	−$421k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	164	13¢	$21.87	$193k
pppnn	Yes	30	16¢	$4.80	−$81k
CompulsiveGambler	No	200	81¢	$162	$76k
OraculumNobius	No	154	80¢	$123.20	$4k
HerrieDavis	No	92	65¢	$60.48	$325k
just-bettor	No	50	80¢	$40	$3k
0x09d2…a3ac	No	30	80¢	$24	−$4k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
2Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$24k
3Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$18k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$12k
6Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$3k
7US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$2k
8US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$1k