What are the odds for “Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30, 2027?” on Polymarket?

No 85% · Yes 16%, on $1.1k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30, 2027?”?

Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 19¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30, 2027?

No 85% · Yes 16%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 19¢). Volume $1.1k, liquidity $1.9k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
85%
Yes
16%
Volume
$1.1k
Liquidity
$1.9k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 100 known shares

CompulsiveGamblerwhale
entry 19¢ · all-time +$76k · win 65%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30, 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 85% · Yes 16%, on $1.1k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30, 2027?”?: Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 19¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30, 2027?

live

Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30, 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

84.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes100100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$154k	$45k	-5.7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 95% · No 5%	$153k	$89k	2.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$120k	$607k	-1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$116k	$330k	0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes 12% · No 89%	$96k	$318k	0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$91k	$41k	0.8%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes 94% · No 7%	$68k	$43k	0.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$66k	$57k	0.7%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 15¢ask 16¢spread 1¢mid 16¢

SizeBid

AskSize

615¢

16¢226

6114¢

17¢828

12113¢

18¢30

1.3k11¢

22¢100

3110¢

23¢9

448¢

24¢100

67¢

25¢100

1006¢

26¢200

2555¢

58¢100

6914¢

59¢483

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
resilience26	Yes	529	−$11k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	101	$193k
CompulsiveGambler	Yes	100	$76k
lolzzzlol	Yes	6	−$99k
DumbOracle	No	730	$5k
0x7f0d…9965	No	6	$57.51

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$19k
2Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$11k
3US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$12k
4US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$2k