What are the odds for “Will Russia enter Moskovka by November 30?” on Polymarket?

No 84% · Yes 17%, on $382 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Russia enter Moskovka by November 30?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Russia enter Moskovka by November 30?

No 84% · Yes 17%. Volume $382, liquidity $108. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
84%
Yes
17%
Volume
$382
Liquidity
$108

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 6 known shares

GuyFromTinder
entry — · all-time −$100k · win 45%

No

1 wallets · 20 known shares

SmartBoyBilly
entry 85¢ · all-time −$10k · win 50%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Russia enter Moskovka by November 30?” on Polymarket?: No 84% · Yes 17%, on $382 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Russia enter Moskovka by November 30?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Russia enter Moskovka by November 30?

live

Will Russia enter Moskovka by November 30? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

83.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No2078%
Yes622%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$265k	$75k	-5.8%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$155k	$93k	4.4%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$123k	$650k	-1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$120k	$327k	0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 74%	$101k	$80k	-4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$96k	$51k	1.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$93k	$64k	2.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$76k	$183k	0.6%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 12¢ask 21¢spread 9¢mid 16¢

SizeBid

AskSize

8012¢

21¢60

54¢

22¢30

223¢

87¢5

1532¢

88¢126

2631¢

91¢36

92¢5

97¢13

98¢20

99¢38

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	70	$193k
PPMT	Yes	60	$18k
GuyFromTinder	Yes	6	−$100k
richyee	No	50	−$18k
SmartBoyBilly	No	20	−$10k
MusakaKing	No	20	$2k
helicobite	No	20	−$26.97
pootytherewardfarmer	No	20	−$339k
0x08d5…a1ca	No	6	$332.16

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$44k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$24k
4Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$20k
6Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$5k
7Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$3k
8US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$3k
9Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2k