No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 64¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
8 ranked wallets bought Yes at 64¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 8 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $642k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $171k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $146k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $83k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $71k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeGamma | Yes | 2k |
| dbe21fe5-4bdc-475a-ba5a-0a874c452cdd | Yes | 925 |
| AlexCimmeria | Yes | 900 |
| Lexonio | Yes | 472 |
| kamarat | Yes | 350 |
| LukeAlpha | Yes | 217 |
| KARACAC | Yes | 200 |
| 0xef2a2e | Yes | 181 |
| 0x35c073 | Yes | 174 |
| 0x4018f2 | Yes | 173 |
| Discombobulator | No | 1 |
| 0xb3b3…46e2 | No | 0 |
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