Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 87¢) and lost. Volume $22k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
whig took +$2.4k on Yes from 13¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.5k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $642k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $171k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $146k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $83k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $71k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| whig | Yes | $2k |
| Feracios | Yes | $188.26 |
| Luck7.7.7 | Yes | $135.29 |
| 0xae0f… | Yes | $96.92 |
| SubashChandraBose | Yes | $76.01 |
| Bromley86 | Yes | $59.59 |
| arb-dog0 | Yes | $50 |
| 0xe63a… | Yes | $49.25 |
| PashaAsOracul | Yes | $44.15 |
| dsjkfbc | Yes | $42.14 |
| ConsensusIsWrongUA | Yes | $38.55 |
| marki01 | Yes | $25.54 |
109 wallets held a position at the close. The 58 biggest winners took $3.4k; the 51 biggest losers gave up $3.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.