Yes won. Volume $20k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
SubashChandraBose took +$1.2k on Yes from 72¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.6k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $642k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $171k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $146k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $83k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $71k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| SubashChandraBose | Yes | $1k |
| 0x498f… | Yes | $165.32 |
| Feracios | Yes | $101.42 |
| IRL.hedge | Yes | $77 |
| 0xe63a… | Yes | $60.42 |
| OneMillySoon | Yes | $59.20 |
| Boroda205 | Yes | $24.64 |
| ConsensusIsWrongUA | Yes | $23.46 |
| Dafri220286 | Yes | $16.48 |
| PashaAsOracul | Yes | $15.64 |
| OpenSourceIntel | Yes | $15.32 |
| ligmaAT | Yes | $11.25 |
69 wallets held a position at the close. The 43 biggest winners took $1.9k; the 26 biggest losers gave up $1.8k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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