What are the odds for “Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?” on Polymarket?

No 96% · Yes 4%, on $90k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?

No 96% · Yes 4%. Volume $90k, liquidity $20k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
96%
Yes
4%
Volume
$90k
Liquidity
$20k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

96.2%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes1k94%
No606%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$288k	$70k	-0.4%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$215k	$91k	4.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$172k	$43k	0.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$129k	$52k	0.6%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$122k	$331k	0.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 28% · No 73%	$121k	$86k	-3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	Yes 100% · No 0%	$90k	$70k	0.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$88k	$173k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 3.1¢ask 4.5¢spread 1.4¢mid 3.8¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1003.1¢

4.5¢20

503¢

4.6¢86

502.8¢

4.7¢50

502.7¢

4.9¢1.7k

2432.6¢

5¢265

4972.5¢

5.2¢872

2622.4¢

5.5¢1.3k

2112.3¢

5.7¢16

502.2¢

6.2¢13

5702.1¢

6.5¢929

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
pandannn	Yes	7k	18¢	$1k	$0.00
wan123	Yes	6k			$1.2M
RememberAmalek	Yes	3k			$836k
Fullvie	Yes	2k			$8k
K10576	Yes	1k	4¢	$33.46	−$4k
aaIrbet	Yes	1k	18¢	$185.32	$7k
0x7272…a67d	Yes	1k	8¢	$80	$20k
Dragontree	Yes	850			$160k
0x6992…6c1d	Yes	707			$836.37
thecaricature	Yes	550			−$7k
devin.lawson.77	No	11k	90¢	$5k	$8k
FATMAN	No	7k	82¢	$5k	$12k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$54k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
3US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?$25k
4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$18k
5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?$16k
6US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$20k
7Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$9k
8Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$3k
9US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$6k
10US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$2k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 1,000 known shares

0x7272…a67d
entry 8¢ · all-time +$20k · win 56%

No

2 wallets · 60 known shares

0xf040b3
entry — · all-time −$672 · win 50%
balerinacapuchina
entry — · all-time +$37k · win 70%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 96% · Yes 4%, on $90k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?

No 96% · Yes 4%. Volume $90k, liquidity $20k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
96%
Yes
4%
Volume
$90k
Liquidity
$20k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?

live

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

96.2%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes1k94%
No606%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$288k	$70k	-0.4%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$215k	$91k	4.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$172k	$43k	0.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$129k	$52k	0.6%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$122k	$331k	0.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 28% · No 73%	$121k	$86k	-3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	Yes 100% · No 0%	$90k	$70k	0.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$88k	$173k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 3.1¢ask 4.5¢spread 1.4¢mid 3.8¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1003.1¢

4.5¢20

503¢

4.6¢86

502.8¢

4.7¢50

502.7¢

4.9¢1.7k

2432.6¢

5¢265

4972.5¢

5.2¢872

2622.4¢

5.5¢1.3k

2112.3¢

5.7¢16

502.2¢

6.2¢13

5702.1¢

6.5¢929

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
pandannn	Yes	7k	18¢	$1k	$0.00
wan123	Yes	6k			$1.2M
RememberAmalek	Yes	3k			$836k
Fullvie	Yes	2k			$8k
K10576	Yes	1k	4¢	$33.46	−$4k
aaIrbet	Yes	1k	18¢	$185.32	$7k
0x7272…a67d	Yes	1k	8¢	$80	$20k
Dragontree	Yes	850			$160k
0x6992…6c1d	Yes	707			$836.37
thecaricature	Yes	550			−$7k
devin.lawson.77	No	11k	90¢	$5k	$8k
FATMAN	No	7k	82¢	$5k	$12k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$54k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
3US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?$25k
4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$18k
5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?$16k
6US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$20k
7Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$9k
8Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$3k
9US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$6k
10US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$2k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 1,000 known shares

0x7272…a67d
entry 8¢ · all-time +$20k · win 56%

No

2 wallets · 60 known shares

0xf040b3
entry — · all-time −$672 · win 50%
balerinacapuchina
entry — · all-time +$37k · win 70%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 96% · Yes 4%, on $90k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.