No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 19¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
16 ranked wallets bought Yes at 19¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 16 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $661k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $267k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $251k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $184k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $166k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $82k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $70k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bigboytrader8 | Yes | 50k |
| 0x878f…1755 | Yes | 34k |
| Rishi.sunak | Yes | 14k |
| KIGNX | Yes | 10k |
| 0xf6a8…7331 | Yes | 10k |
| lehahr | Yes | 7k |
| lion.of.zion | Yes | 6k |
| 0x1d81…5c1e | Yes | 5k |
| 0x88ae…809a | Yes | 4k |
| Tinto | Yes | 3k |
| charizardd | No | 290 |
| dwef3ff | No | 160 |
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