No won. Smart money backed Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $17k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $5.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $1.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 73% · Mike Rogers (R) 28% | $888k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 18% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% · Édouard Philippe 12% | $822k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $722k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $532k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 57% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $499k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| vinii | No | $26.79 |
| acc32 | Yes | $9.89 |
| scorned | Yes | $7.31 |
| 0561 | No | $5 |
| C.PM | No | $2.21 |
| asdfasdf11 | No | $1.36 |
| sleepymonkey | No | $1.27 |
| kroko | Yes | $1.15 |
| adsfasdf113 | No | $0.86 |
| asdfll1 | No | $0.86 |
| risknot3 | Yes | $0.71 |
| bittersahu | No | $0.65 |
28 wallets held a position at the close. The 12 biggest winners took $58; the 16 biggest losers gave up $258. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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