No won. Volume $1.6M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
waveNemo took +$3.1k on No from 91¢; the biggest loser gave up $3.8k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? | Yes 20% · No 80% | $730.27 |
| Human moon landing in 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $564 |
| How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? | <5 71% · 5-6 22% · 9-10 1% | $510.70 |
| Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $388.36 |
| How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31? | 12-15 68% · 16-19 18% · <12 5% | $338.35 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026? | Yes 30% · No 70% | $337.27 |
| Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? | Yes 67% · No 33% | $310.28 |
| Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? | Yes 67% · No 33% | $306.40 |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| waveNemo | No | $3k |
| acc-5 | No | $1k |
| MistahFox | No | $866.95 |
| sayanghae | No | $496.82 |
| golufu | No | $426.34 |
| NotThatAttractedToGambling | No | $333.13 |
| user4759287367289187 | No | $222.72 |
| YYY55 | No | $208.00 |
| 0x283b… | No | $198 |
| ooops | No | $179.11 |
| uhoh1 | No | $165 |
| mistertuna | No | $148.00 |
1,325 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $11k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $18k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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