Yes won. Smart money backed No (8 ranked wallets, average entry 14¢) and lost. Volume $235k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
WisHGemini took +$1.4k on Yes from 54¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.5k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $584k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 87% · No 14% | $215k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 45% | $157k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $128k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 61% · No 39% | $86k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $84k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $79k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 72% · No 28% | $65k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| WisHGemini | Yes | $1k |
| Outsmarter | Yes | $797.15 |
| Bikesarethebest | No | $406.60 |
| 98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVF | No | $362.83 |
| SSKKH | No | $340.67 |
| sucuk-mit-ei | Yes | $327.68 |
| Gambler665 | Yes | $244.67 |
| Chersi | No | $239.38 |
| 0x4935… | Yes | $211.64 |
| Bikesarethebest | Yes | $180.35 |
| 0x46e2… | Yes | $164.04 |
| Hds | Yes | $140.80 |
385 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $6.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $5.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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