No 98% · Yes 2%. Volume $18k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
TheOne777 took +$53 on No from 53¢; the biggest loser gave up $200.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $677k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 45% | $270k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $251k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 86% · No 14% | $181k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $164k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $72k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 59% · No 41% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| TheOne777 | No | $53.39 |
| 0x9bbd… | No | $33.23 |
| sapintegration | No | $26.94 |
| dommymommy | No | $21.40 |
| 0xb9f5… | Yes | $18.01 |
| a4385 | No | $15.09 |
| DarrellWyatt5772 | No | $14.46 |
| NAA | Yes | $12.61 |
| 77771 | No | $11.15 |
| 0x8304… | No | $10.78 |
| lustigg | No | $10.72 |
| BukharinBergbergstein | No | $9.50 |
77 wallets held a position at the close. The 33 biggest winners took $313; the 44 biggest losers gave up $425. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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