Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Politics · live

Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

Yes 51% · No 50%. Volume $5.8k, liquidity $381. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

Yes
51%
No
50%
Volume
$5.8k
Liquidity
$381

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

2 wallets · 141 known shares

viniiwhale
entry — · P&L $180k · win 59%
eme10
entry — · P&L $3.3k · win 35%

No

1 wallets · 45 known shares

0x8f69…2923
entry — · P&L -$11k · win 45%

More Politics markets

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
No 95% · Yes 5% · 24h volume $5.8k
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
No 100% · Yes 0% · 24h volume $1.2k
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?
No 96% · Yes 4% · 24h volume $899

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?” on Polymarket?: Yes 51% · No 50%, on $5.8k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the US politics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

live

Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

50.5%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Politics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Next Prime Minister of Spain?	Alberto Núñez Feijóo 83% · Pedro Sánchez 13% · Santiago Abascal 2%	$45k	$402k
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes 5% · No 95%	$6k	$69k
Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?	Christopher Luxon 57% · Chris Hipkins 43% · David Seymour 0%	$2k	$149k
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	Yes 0% · No 100%	$1k	$46k
Next Prime Minister of Italy?	Giorgia Meloni 50% · Elly Schlein 24% · Giuseppe Conte 19%	$973.60	$142k
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$899.38	$45k
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?	No Next Chancellor before 2028 65% · Hendrik Wüst 14% · Boris Pistorius 5%	$762.68	$184k
Next Prime Minister of Greece?	Kyriakos Mitsotakis 66% · Alexis Tsipras 8% · Nikos Androulakis 3%	$658.84	$144k

Smart-money conviction · Politics

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