No 86% · Yes 14%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 48¢). Volume $22k, liquidity $2.2k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.0M |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes 76% · No 24% | $80k |
| Fed Decision in January? | No change 74% · 25 bps increase 19% · 25 bps decrease 4% | $66k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 98% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 0% | $66k |
| Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) | Hike–Pause–Hike 76% · Hike–Pause–Pause 22% | $27k |
| Fed Decision in March? | No change 54% · 25 bps increase 38% · 25 bps decrease 5% | $22k |
| How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 2 (50 bps) 76% · 1 (25 bps) 25% · 3 (75 bps) 1% | $17k |
| Fed decisions (Oct-Jan) | Pause-Hike-Pause 70% · Pause-Pause-Hike 17% · Pause-Pause-Pause 7% | $15k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HDGB | Yes | 3k |
| t4zuwbigfjnrs | Yes | 1k |
| SuperTests | Yes | 790 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 202 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 165 |
| 0xbbf686 | Yes | 110 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 86 |
| 0x11eaaf | Yes | 71 |
| just-bettor | Yes | 55 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 50 |
| flexibleagedbeef | No | 2k |
| Alicie | No | 1k |
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