No won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 99¢) and won. Volume $2.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31? | 12-15 50% · 16-19 18% · <12 7% | $2k |
| Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027? | Yes 84% · No 16% | $519.29 |
| Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $388.36 |
| Will Waymo launch in Washington, DC by December 31 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $327.15 |
| How many SpaceX launches in November 2026? | <13 84% · 13 22% · 16+ 12% | $275 |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | Yes 73% · No 28% | $260.89 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? | Yes 70% · No 31% | $236 |
| Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $235.77 |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| chartreuseverte | No | $12.91 |
| -Jarvis- | No | $6.91 |
| 0x6b11… | No | $1.16 |
| TikiTikiTiki | No | $0.53 |
| MELECHPRO | Yes | −$5 |
| romanew-7-spread05 | Yes | −$1.26 |
| 0x6b11… | Yes | −$0.76 |
| yuyuyuyuyyuuyuyu | Yes | −$0.55 |
8 wallets held a position at the close. The 4 biggest winners took $22; the 4 biggest losers gave up $8. The ranked wallets were on the winning side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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