No 89% · Yes 11%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 5¢). Volume $8.7k, liquidity $42k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Fed decisions (Oct-Jan) →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 73% · No change 26% · 50+ bps increase 2% | $660k |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in November? | No change 88% · 25 bps decrease 14% | $36k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 0% | $23k |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes 73% · No 27% | $20k |
| Fed Decision in January? | No change 70% · 25 bps increase 26% · 25 bps decrease 2% | $16k |
| Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November | 25 bps increase 89% · No change 12% | $15k |
| Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) | Hike–Pause–Hike 72% · Hike–Pause–Pause 24% | $14k |
| How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 1 (25 bps) 28% · 3 (75 bps) 1% | $13k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| uraw | Yes | 1k |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 614 |
| CDAP1 | Yes | 564 |
| vlospa | Yes | 326 |
| scorned | Yes | 250 |
| SC261001 | Yes | 137 |
| balthazar | Yes | 60 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 51 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 40 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 35 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 3k |
| rocky42015 | No | 236 |
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